Ukraine counteroffensive, Edition 7. Ukraine advances through the Russian lines in several sectors

Hello, my friends!

I wanted to send you the latest news about the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

As a reminder, I will likely send out additional updates each day. Maybe even twice a day if there are major breakthroughs or big news.

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Russia and Ukraine news:

As of 2 p.m. on Monday, increasingly verified reports have emerged of Ukrainian advances across multiple sectors.

• Reuters: Ukraine claims new gains in early phase of counteroffensive

• BBC: Ukraine counter-offensive: Kyiv says it has liberated villages in Donetsk region

• Yahoo News: Russia downplaying Ukrainian advances in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia oblasts

I thought I’d show you what that looks like as of approximately 2 p.m. with some maps that also align with other analysts assessments.

These four below are from War Mapper, but they closely align with the Institute for the Study of War, which I’ll share below.

First, the wide view. Russia controls the red and purple.

Here is the southern front, which has been especially bloody of late.

Here is a map from the Institute for the Study of War, which largely aligns with the above image.

Here is a look at those advances in the south, zoomed in:

Here is another look at how that attack is unfolding:

And this, of course, is what the real goal is for the push in the south.

Just to remind you, in case you’re just starting to tune into the war again,

If Ukrainian forces can punch through Russian lines as depicted on that map, all the way to the Sea of Azov, then any Russian troops west of that new advance will be stranded.

They will be forced to be entirely dependent on supplies through the Crimean Peninsula.

Ukraine would destroy the Kerch Bridge, which links Russia with Crimea, and attack ships and planes being used to ferry supplies to the peninsula.

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Other advances are being made in addition to what you just saw in the southern part of Ukraine.

Up in the more northern part, around Bakhmut, Ukraine is also taking land.

The fighting is literally yard-by-yard right now.

You can get a feel for how close-in this fighting is by watching the video below.

This new footage emerged of some of the attacks on the Russian trench systems just within the last day.

The fighting you see in this isn’t even anything high-tech or sexy. No Leopard tanks. No U.S.-made Bradley Fighting Vehicles. Nothing.

Just three Hummers/Humvee’s and about a platoon of troops, suppressing the enemy and then closing with them.

It’s beyond horrible that Putin launched this war and could end it tomorrow by withdrawing, but until he does, more fighting like this will have to occur.

One strategic factor to keep in mind.

Most of the Russian troops are dug in and positioned on the front line, which stretches for more than 600 miles.

Russia has almost no reserves in theater. Once these long lines of defense are captured or destroyed, there won’t be much to stop Ukraine.

And that’s when the race will be on.

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Love and peace,

Stan R. Mitchell

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